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Stay abreast of what’s happening internationally with developments in corporate public affairs. Here is news that you may find useful and interesting:

What Could China’s ‘Social Credit System’ Mean for its CitizensND


Foreign Policy. Roger Creemers, Peter Mattis, Samantha Hoffman, Pamela Kyle Crossley. 15 August 2016

Using big data the Chinese government is intending to create a ‘social credit system’ to give a credit rating for individual civilians based upon civil obedience. The scheme is designed to use online and offline data to create a numerical score. The Shanghai municipal government released a list of 1,200 questions which would develop the score, 1,000 for companies and 200 for individuals. The feasibility of such a scheme is unlikely, due to the technological limitations and ultimately the impossible task of turning loyalty into a quantifiable score. It is unlikely that such a system could be installed nationally, the likelihood is that the system will be used to score individuals with influential occupations, such as doctors and teachers. While in the USA utilising similar data is used to create a FICO score, a scheme of this size and scope has never been attempted. Disgraced former security chief Zhou Yongkang argued pursuing this technology offers the government the ability to install a culture of self-censorship and civil obedience. This technology is ultimately designed to shape people's behaviour to become predictable to authorities. For more information see: www.foreignpolicy.com

Thailand Votes for a new constitutionND


The Economist, 8 August 2016

With a turnout of 55 per cent the Thai Army have passed a charter which introduces new electoral rules resulting in the weakening of any potential coalition government. Sixty five per cent of the vote endorsed the introduction of ‘independent’ commissions who will monitor politician’s policies and ‘moral conduct’. The Junta backed reform opposed by the US, UN and EU maintains the Thai system of stability from the military, legitimacy from the monarchy and bureaucracy from politicians. This reform comes during the IMFs prediction that Thailand’s growth has slowed from 5 percent in the mid-2000s to around 3 per cent, juxtaposing its immediate neighbours. The reform may offer stability to Thailand with the army now in firm control of the tumultuous election cycle, or the opposite with support for former Prime Minister Thaksin (2001-06) who was outed in a military coup remaining strong. For more information see: www.economist.com

IMF's own watchdog criticises its handling of eurozone crisisND


Larry Elliot, The Guardian, 29 July 2016

The International Monetary Fund’s handling of the Eurozone crisis has been failed by its own watchdog which found that it, failed to determine the scale of the problem, failed to create realistic forecasts and gave the impression Europe was gaining preferential treatment. The Independent Evaluation Office found that the IMF failed to appreciate the requirements of accountability and transparency within the banking system. Christine Lagarde, the managing director, argued the IMFs handling of the crisis, particularly in Greece, prevented the ‘contagious’ crisis spreading throughout Europe. The 2010 bailout was heavily politicised the Independent Evaluation Office found, a point Lagarde denies. For more information see: www.theguardian.com

Three-piece dream suit, Abenomics.ND


The Economist, 30 July 2016

Since 2012 Shinzo Abe has promoted three economic policies to create an ‘exoskeleton’ or a ‘three-piece dream suit’. This suit consists of monetary easing, fiscal pragmatism and structural reform. This plan to boost Japans GDP through stronger growth and higher prices has ultimately failed. The potential failure of Abenomics has been connected to the prioritisation of Mr Abe to gain domestic popularity to allow for the pursuit of nationalist aims, particularly to the pacifist constitution. The short term future of Abenomics appears to be fiscal stimulus generated through consumption taxes with employment rising with individuals working in more part time and casual roles. The ageing population places a major hurdle for Japan with the skilled foreign workers being a unpopular solution due to the populations underlying xenophobia. The re-flation of Japan under Abe may allow for the pursuit of further structural reform with the next three years being crucial to Japans macro-economic future. For more information see: www.economist.com

Disasters linked to climate can increase risk of armed conflictND


Damian Carrington, The Guardian, 26 July 2016

Research has found that 23 per cent of violent clashes in ethnically divided places have connections to climate disasters. Climate change is closely associated with armed conflicts, with the effects such as heatwaves, storms and floods acting as a ‘threat multiplier’ for conflict. Nine per cent of armed conflicts were associated with climate disaster, while areas with previously existing ethnic division spiked the statistic to 23 per cent. The research conducted by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research shows the requirement for further research into disaster distribution and modelling. Carrington concludes on the fact that Syria and California are currently experiencing the biggest droughts on record, yet the lack of ethnic tension and division within California allows for the retention of peace. For more information see: www.theguardian.com

Why Industrial Strategy is back ND


The Economist, 24 July 2016

The promotion of industrial strategy in the UK has previously been seen as a left wing ambition and not a Conservative pursuit. Since Margaret Thatcher dismantled UK industry and ‘smashed the unions’ during the 1980s to develop a service based economy removing the previously Keynesian system of policymaking, industry has not been a major focus. After the Brexit, a devalued currency has left the UK in a position to become a significant global exporter with a highly educated workforce and good infrastructure yet very little to no manufacturing. Theresa May aims to boost productivity, invest in major infrastructure projects (as done by Roosevelt with the Works Progress Administration (1935-43), notably creating Hoover Dam and LaGuardia Airport) and address the current housing shortage. For more information see: www.economist.com

Splendour in the Grass a 'missed opportunity' for drug testing, advocates say.ND


Lexi Metherell. ABC News, 23 July 2016

The first festival of the season went ahead in Byron Bay without significant any issues, yet the debate around ‘Pill testing’ still rages on. Drug policy in New South Wales is a complex mix of harm reduction and clear moral obligation to actively police drug use. After a series of deaths at the start of 2016 due to lethal ecstasy, there has been renewed pressure on the NSW government to allow for pill testing schemes, as utilised in most Western European nations. Metherell argues the ‘Nancy Reagen-esque’ approach increases both the risk of harm and amount of money dealers are make due to the illicit drugs value being partially dependent on the risk dealers must take. For more information see: www.abc.net.au

The greyhound ban and the working man: what exactly does 'working class culture' mean?ND


Jeff Sparrow, The Guardian, 21 July 2016

As a policy maker Mike Baird has been quick to implement potentially unpopular policies, from his support of the Sydney lockout laws, the new anti-protest laws and finally the state-wide ban of grey hound racing, he has remained unrepentant. Whilst the greyhound industry undoubtedly has poor practices, as with any form of racing, Mike Baird risks a legacy of ‘class based moralism’ writes Jeff Sparrow. Banning the ‘assumed mythical aspect of an ever-disappearing old Australian way of life’ in such a fashion, rather than attempting reforms in the industry highlights potentially lacking attempts at stakeholder engagement. The news that Barton Deakin, traditionally Liberal Party aligned, will be representing the greyhound industry suggests that the dog may still have its last bite. For more information see: www.theguardian.com

Losing our AAA credit rating is not a harbinger of doom. It could be a blessing in disguise.ND


John Quiggin, The Guardian, 12 July 2016

John Quiggin argues that in today’s debt heavy society the retaining of triple-A status is simply unnecessary. To retain a AAA credit rating any risk around investments must be avoided, usually at the cost of socially beneficial investment. With falling interest rates (currently at 2% for government bonds) there is little benefit in the government not following the heavily indebted Australian public and use debt as a financial management tool on a larger scale. The pursuit of austerity and retention of triple A status in Germany at the potential cost of the European Union dispels the myth of credit rating equating to financial or social security. For more information see: www.theguardian.com

Three amigos and two spectresND


The Economist, 25 June 2016

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), enacted by George H.W. Bush in 1992 allows for free trade between the United States, Canada and Mexico. The free trade zone has boosted trade since its signing, yet growing protectionism and the rise of Donald Trump has placed the agreement at odds with a public voting for isolation. However, as the U.S.A aims to distance itself from the agreement Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has placed enormous effort into improving Canadian-Mexican relationships. This has taken the form of visa free travel into Canada. Whilst NAFTA maybe a small agreement when compared to the planned Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) consisting of 12 Asian and Latin signatories in addition to Canada and Mexico. NAFTA provides a platform for dialogue within North America, along with geopolitical and economic security threatened by the rise in protectionism and isolationism within the U.S.A. For more information see: www.economist.com

Tony Blair unrepentant as Chilcot gives crushing Iraq war verdictND


Luke Harding, The Guardian, 7 July 2016

The report of the Chilcot enquiry into the 2003 Iraq war has been published. The report, announced in June 2009, was designed to create a clear narrative of the motivating forces which led to British involvement in the Iraq war in order to determine both the legitimacy and legality of the invasion. The findings of the report found, ‘military action was not a last resort’, there was no imminent threat from Saddam Hussein, there was an unjustifiable over-estimation of the threat of WMD and ultimately the invasion had failed to achieve its objectives. The 2.6 million word, 12 volume report concluded that Tony Blair overestimated his control of the US led direction of the war and the preparedness of the British armed forces. For more information see www.theguardian.com

Olympics ease a blackout, and brands flood the fieldND


Zach Schonbrun, The New York Times, 3 July 2016

In the build up to the Rio Olympics the International Olympic Committee has revised Rule 40 of the Olympic charter. The rule dictates a blackout of non-sanctioned advertising during the Olympic Games and the run up. The revision allows sponsors to run Olympic based adverts, just before the Olympics, as long as they don’t explicitly link the product to the Olympics. This revision has the potential to devalue exceptionally expensive, sanctioned, adverts taken out by companies like Citigroup and Adidas. The loosening of rule 40 also brings in the issue of social media marketing which has become a key source of revenue for athletes and sponsors. A source that is far harder to police. Whilst, it has yet to be seen if more adverts and therefor attention to the Olympics will facilitate higher demand for products or over saturation will devalue expensive adverts. For more information see: www.nytimes.com

Uber rival gains ground in South East AsiaND


Newley Purnell, The Wall Street Journal, 4 July 2016

With Uber currently focused upon expansion within India and China funded by the recent $3.5 billion USD investment from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment fund, it has growing competition within South East Asia. Ride-sharing application based companies have become the latest billion dollar industry, created by easy access to GPS enabled smartphones and the constant desire for ease of use. Whilst the marketplace for transport based services is large, accessing it has proved challenging with largescale public protest occurring from London to Sao Paolo usually combined with litigation. Market presence has proved important with the threat of ride-sharing services being banned or illegal (as in France) eliminating a customer base. Whilst the currently small Uber competitor ‘Grab’ operated out of Singapore has focused its expansion in the highly populous and less regulated South East Asian marketplace. Due to this Grabs current value of $1.6 billion USD is forecast to reach $13.1 billion by 2025. For more information see: www.wsj.com

The former attorney general has said a second EU referendum would be legalND


Jon Stone, The Independent, 5 July 2016

The dust over the Brexit may be settling with the British economy gradually stabilising. The divisiveness of a vote split 52 per cent leave to 48 per cent stay is evident with renewed calls for a further independence referendum in Scotland, and even the satirical request for London to join the EU. With Dominic Grieve (the former conservative chief legal advisor until 2014) stating it is “possible that it will become apparent with the passage of time that public opinion has shifted on the matter. [And] If so a second referendum may be justified” and a study completed by Opinium indicating around 7 per cent of voters regretted casting their exit vote, whilst 3 per cent regretted voting remain, further complicating the situation. Negotiations surrounding issues such as the single market have been set back by the Conservative party still seeking a ‘captain’ to ‘steady the ship’ whilst the Labour opposition suffers a crises of both leadership and identity. Until the formal declaration of Article 50 (stating the UK will leave the EU) the divided-United Kingdom remains an unstable political and economic marketplace for both individuals and investors. For more information see: www.independent.co.uk

JB Hi-Fi has strongest corporate reputation in Australia; regains top spot ND


AMR Australia with the Reputation Institute, 4 May 2016

JB Hi-Fi is once again considered Australia’s most trusted company, according to the Corporate Reputation Index. The Index is an annual study conducted by research consultancy AMR, in conjunction with the Reputation Institute. The research sources 60 companies from the IBIS World Top 2000 Company list and measures how Australians consider each company on products and services, innovation, workplace, citizenship, governance, leadership and financial performance. Notable companies and movements included Apple climbing two spots to reach number nine. According to AMR, concerns over Apple's governance and citizenship are still on the rise. Samsung declined one spot and was listed at number 3 in 2016. Qantas jumped five places from ninth in 2015 to fourth, while Woolworths fell from 17th in 2015 to 40th in 2016 and Australia Post fell from 6th to 19th, and 7-Eleven fell 20 places to rank at 56. Optus climbed 15 places to 28 while Telstra jumped four spots to number 50. Both positions are considered average or moderate, according to the list. Vodafone has moved up two places, and is now ranked 55, it is among the companies considered vulnerable. In 2009 it ranked number 24 and was well ahead of Telstra and Optus. For more information see: www.amr-australia.com

Beyoncé and the cultural lure of sweatND


Angelina Russo, The Conversation, 12 April 2016.

Beyonce is among a growing number of celebrities who have launched activewear collaborations. The 24/7 activewear market taps into the health and well-being industry, and while it’s commonplace within the gym its popularity in the street is gaining traction also. Global sports apparel sales have risen 42 per cent to US$270 billion over the last seven years and is expected to grow to US$178 billion per annum by 2019, according to Morgan Stanley. Australia has seen annual growth of 8.8 per cent between 2011 and 2016, with the investment bank estimating that the industry could grow by a further 30 per cent by 2020. For more information see: www.theconversation.com

Wealthier World, Poorer Nation: The Problem with the Rise of the RestND


Jack Goldstone, Foreign Affairs, 28 March 2016

Movements such as Occupy Wall Street and the Spanish anti-austerity movement 15-M may lie at the opposite end of the political spectrum from populist movements such as the Tea Party, the National Front in France, and Pegida in Germany, yet they share a common origin: anger at those whom they feel have profited at their expense. A sense of hopelessness and lack of opportunity is accentuated by dramatic economic shifts. Alphabet Inc., owner of Google and the most valuable corporation in the United States today, employs 61,000 people in the United States; the next most valuable company, Apple, employs 76,000. Comparatively, at its peak, General Motors had 618,365 U.S. workers. Airbnb employs just 1,600 staff yet has a market value of over $25 billion. A study by economists at MIT estimated that 2.4 million U.S. jobs have been lost because of shifts from local production to imports. Those in the middle and lower classes feel left behind. A recent study by the Pew Research Center found that while 61 percent of U.S. adults lived in middle-class households in 1971, by 2014 that portion had fallen to 50 percent. For more information see: www.foreignaffairs.com

The Industries That Are Being Disrupted the Most by Digital ND


Rhys Grossman, Harvard Business Review, 21 March 2016.

Digital is today integrated into every aspect of a corporation. The inability of leaders to adequately respond to its transformational effects is prevalent. Many are struggling to remove the barriers preventing them from maximizing the benefits of new digital technologies. An annual survey spanning over 2,000 C-level executives on the impact, structure, barriers, and enablers of digital technologies across 15 industries, has highlighted the impact digital is having by sector. Predictably, the most disrupted organisations were B2C, with media being the most disrupted and telecoms and consumer financial services close behind. Ninety percent of companies surveyed have a digital strategy in place. However, the speed of change has produced a skills gap, which is preventing many of these companies from moving more quickly. This article suggests that here are three levers organisations can pull to keep pace: catalytic roles; culture; and commitment. For more information see: www.hbr.org

Sharapova and Celebrity SponsorshipND


Richard Edelman, Edelman, 11 March 2016

Maria Sharapova’s recent disclosure that she had failed a drug test that was administered at the Australian Open in January sent shockwaves through the tennis world. She tested positive for a recently banned substance called meldonium, which is used to treat heart problems but also has performance-enhancing properties. She is now facing a lengthy ban from the game, and Porsche, Nike and Tag Heuer, have suspended their relationships with her. In addressing the situation Sharapova followed the classic crisis management textbook in claiming responsibility, trying to provide an explanation, then offering an apology to the sport and to her fans. Richard Edelman outlines why the classic crisis playbook failed in this case. For more information see: www.edelman.com

Your next car will be hacked. Will autonomous vehicles be worth it? ND


Jemima Kiss, the Guardian, 14 March 2016

The Insurance Information Institute estimates that by 2030, 25 per cent of all cars sold will be autonomous. As a result there will be an estimated 80 per cent fewer traffic accidents because of the increased safety of autonomous cars. However, security experts predict that hacking into self-driving or “autonomous” cars will become more commonplace. It is the criminals motivated by money that present the biggest threat and are likely to increasingly target self-driving cars. The US market for cyber insurance is witnessing rapid growth, from $2bn in 2015 to a predicted $7.5bn in 2020. For more information see: www.theguardian.com

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